These are the states that had a lower than 3% margin in 2016 or switched from red to blue/blue to red between 2008 and 2016. Demographic Group. Elections, LLC 2019 All Rights Reserved. Rep./Dem. Or will Trump stay in the White House? (Defaults are from 2020) had on the election, we considered the scenario in which several of the primary major party candidates were also o cial candidates in the nal presidential election. View overall results, or a specific state: Additional new features will be coming soon. Aside from 1872 - death of Horace Greeley - it is the greatest number since electors began casting one vote each for president and vice president (12th Amendment, 1804). In the 1992 election, Ross Perot was such a candidate, winning approximately 19% of the popular vote and having over 30% of the nal vote in Maine and 27% in Utah [2]. Who will protect women from the courts and legislatures? Ted puts Hillary's reputation to the test. View our Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) about next steps for this game and site. Campaign Trail results and averages by election: 2020 2016 2016a 2012 2000 1988 1976 1968 1960 1948 1916 1896 1860 1844 Tweet How do you stack up? In the interactive graphic below, you decide which way these closer states will vote, and try to pave Joe Biden or Donald Trumps path to victory. Non-Hisp. This game was built using Twine. "The definitive 2016 election game!" - said no one. Save the election map to generate a unique link to share. After this standardization process, we then take a mean average of these daily entries in order to present the polling average. Select the Run Simulation button to conduct a simulated 2020 presidential election. The Political Machine is a trademark of Stardock Entertainment. Senate Forecast Kentucky Gov Forecast. The way the site is structured, we can only have one simulation pairing, and so we've chosen to launch (rather than wait) with the most likely fall match-up. The tool populates an electoral map in about 15 seconds, based on a probability set for each state. Additional contributions from Allison McCann. Which President's personality most closely matches yours? You are an American. Please enter a name, party, and color for each candidate. All rights reserved. See the The 270toWin simulator has returned for 2016, currently featuring the most likely November match-up: Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump. The electoral map has shifted in 2020, amid new challenges from misinformation to mail-in ballots. There were seven faithless presidential electors. YAPms 2 Beta - Discord USA 2016 Presidential Election Shortcuts F - hold down to quickly fill in districts CTRL - hold down to decrement the color Enable Simulator District Electoral College The Electoral College is the process in which the United States elects its president. Electoral College Calculator and Map Generator - 2024 Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse. This election simulation game is developed by icivics has been played more than 6 million times. This isn't Earth 6. Play Fullscreen Do you want to be the next President of the United States? Bullaburra accommodation meaning. presidents in American history. States shown here did not allocate all their available electoral votes to one candidate. This refreshed version of Win the White House challenges you to build your campaign and allows you to simulate a presidential election: Building arguments to support timely issues that are relevant to you Strategically raise funds to support your campaign It's very simple: Choose a 3-party presidential race from the drop -down. - The options for swing states are: Florida, Maine (at large), Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska (2nd district), New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada Indiana, Iowa, North Carolina, Ohio. Three additional faithless votes, one each in Colorado, Maine and Minnesota, were disallowed. And since that wasn't enough, we also included data on how the states voted relative to the country on the whole, letting you see how much more liberal or conservative each one was versus the norm, even if it voted for a Democrat or a Republican. Such states ranked either a solid or likely win for either party, according to the Cook Political Report have already been coloured in for Biden and Trump in the graphic below. FiveThirtyEight Polls-Plus Forecast Clinton wins popular vote but loses Electoral College. Sorry but an error occured. DeSantis critical of China, hazy on Ukraine as he charts foreign policy path. Well, it looks like we have our general election match-up: Jeb Bush vs. Martin O'Malley. Points Shop News Labs. Copyright 2023 Stardock Entertainment. Finally, the map can be populated randomly or more East-to-West, based on actual poll closing times. The sample of 100 outcomes below gives you a good idea of the range of scenarios our model thinks is possible. Data Updated: Tue Nov 03 2020 04:02:43 GMT-0800 (Pacific Standard Time) . Follow Race to the WH on. Forum Discussion of the 2016 Presidential Election; Forum Discussion of the 2016 Gubernatorial Elections; Forum Discussion of the 2016 Congressional Elections; Follow Updates. Dem Votes. Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse. ET. 2016 Cooperative Congressional Election Study. Nothing has been posted to this project page yet. The state-by-state . Contact us with any questions or comments. See more info here. You can also narrow these results down to games played by a specific candidate and difficulty level. Barring some sort of stunning development, we're headed for a Donald Trump-Hillary Clinton fight in November -- the sort of outcome that Americans in other dimensions are using as jokes to start their news articles. Number of IndependentsDefault123, Election Results for 2024 - Use Simplified Version of the Electoral College Calculator. The United States presidential election of 2016 was the 58th quadrennial American presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016. On any day, we collate any polls published in the last 14 days and take a mean average of their results. View our Campaign Trail Hall of Fame. 2016 Electoral College Calculator Edited by Anna Brand. This simulation uses a set of assumptions based on the results of the Republican primary so far. Clinton majority wins at least 50 percent of the vote. Obama took 73 percent of the Asian vote in 2012, 2 points higher than his share among Latinos, and Trump could underperform past Republicans among this group. Created by Dan Fernholz and Ric Fernholz. Independent Evan McMullin received 21.5% of the vote in Utah; best '3rd party' performance in any single state since Ross Perot in 1992, Libertarian Gary Johnson received over 3% of the nationwide vote; best 3rd party performance nationwide since Ross Perot in 1996. The map above shows how the 2016 US Presidential election might go if only one demographic group got the vote. Johnson wins at least one electoral vote. To build a baseline model of the 2020 presidential election we started with the results of the 2016 election, measuring the support for President Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton by race, college education and age in each state. Build your own US election result: plot a Biden or Trump win Biden may be ahead in the polls, but key battlegrounds that the Democrats lost unexpectedly in 2016 could come through again for. With a new slew How do you stack up? For example, candidates with less than a states required minimum share of the vote receive no delegates in that state. *No district-level delegates from Pennsylvania are allocated because those delegates are directly elected without indicating presidential preference. 2021 Guardian News & Media Limited or its affiliated companies. For now, a combination of polling, 2012 actual and, The way the site is structured, we can only have one simulation pairing, and so we've chosen to launch (rather than wait) with the most likely fall match-up. Run for President of the United States as one of over a dozen presidential candidates or create your own ideal candidate. Maybe check back later! In this game, you will make choices. The Excel workbook contains an election simulator that allows you to predict who will win each state, whilst keeping count of the Electoral College votes. Created February 25, 2021 It will take at least 270 electoral votes for a presidential candidate to win the 2020 election. Development and design by Robin Muccari, Nigel Chiwaya, Jiachuan Wu and Sophie Andrews. Simulation Infogram. Change the settings below to see how shifts in party preference and turnout by different demographic groups would affect the 2016 presidential election. The goal of this report . Finally, we adjusted the size of each demographic group by doubling census-estimated population change for voting-age citizens from 2016 to 2018. Forum Discussion of the 2016 Presidential Election, Forum Discussion of the 2016 Gubernatorial Elections, Forum Discussion of the 2016 Congressional Elections, Follow Election Polls, Predictions, Endorsements, and Mock Election on the Atlas Activity Stream, 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary - Democratic, 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary - Republican. Results from the Campaign Trail will be tied to your account. Clinton won Washington; however three electors cast votes for Colin Powell, one for Faith Spotted Eagle, Trump won Texas; however one elector cast a vote for Ron Paul, another for John Kasich, Clinton won Hawaii; however one elector cast a vote for Bernie Sanders. If you find something interesting -- a scenario that even Martin O'Malley could win -- let us know in the comments. McMullin wins at least one electoral vote. Rep. Random. Which President's personality most closely matches yours? Choices will appear in coloured text. Select a year and a candidate to find out. Not only did they give President Obama 93 percent of their votes in 2012, but their turnout surpassed that of whites. The states are not interactive on the map unless the split is . Bbc weather alicante october. Each state's delegation casts a single vote with a majority of 26 out of 50 needed to win. Race to the White House. 2024 Polls Presidential Election Senate GOP Primary Dem Primary Biden Approval Rating Tracker. Related reporting: Trump's Path to a Contested Convention . Election Simulator 2016 is the result of being fed up with the 2016 election. States already placed in the Biden and Trump camp are those classified as solid or likely to go to each candidate according to the Cook Political Report as of 9 September 2020. African-Americans are consistently Democrats best demographic group. [read full article], 64 MB DirectX 9.0c 3DVideo Card with PixelShader 2.0 Support. And you are being followed. 2020 polling indicates a 14-day rolling average of statewide polls calculated by the Guardian, correct as of the timestamp above. See the Princeton Election Consortium site for probability color scheme. Save your map Some states remain very likely to go to Biden or Trump because they were won by large margins in 2016, or they have voted the same way in several recent elections. But it's not just any ol' electoral map simulator; we made a tool that lets you also 1) jump to particular scenarios and 2) see how the states have voted in the past. You will answer questions about your platform and positions, and also about your campaign strategy. And since that wasn't enough . Colorado, Wyoming and Virgin Islands aren't holding a presidential preference vote either, but those states are included since those national convention delegates must indicate which candidate, if any, they intend to support. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2016 presidential election forecast. (Defaults are from 2020), Show Map Link (for use in uselectionatlas.org forum posts only), Calculator for Another Year: Give speeches, go on talk shows, hire unsavory operatives, and do whatever it takes to win on election day. The answers will affect your popularity for better or worse, both nationally and in individual states. You can choose to have the map populate randomly or more east to west, based on actual poll closing times. Defeat each candidate to unlock them for general . v1.1 Included: Over a dozen new candidates, updated issues and . Community Hub. Election simulator is a political satire game where you gain Voters by literally throwing cash at problems in society. In states with delegates awarded by congressional district, the simulation allocates delegates in the following ranges: Due to rounding and the range of possible outcomes, individual candidates' delegate totals may sum to more than the total available delegates. Methodology. These Results are controlled 100% by the computerGet the game here: http://270soft.com/us-election-games/president-election-game-2016-infinity/ 2020 Electoral College Map Presidential candidates need 270 electoral votes to win an election. By Aaron Bycoffe and David Wasserman. The split can be edited in this table. Review asus memo tablet. First, we calculated the average share of the vote for each position (first place through fourth place) in all contests through Super Tuesday, with some adjustments made for cases where there would be fewer than four candidates. Click on this interactive map to create your own projections for the 2020 presidential race, see. White. Trumps unpopularity among white voters with college degrees could be his Achilles heel and Hillary Clintons salvation. Specifically, we used exit polls and data from the 2016 Cooperative Congressional Election Study to estimate each demographic group's partisan preference, and data from the Census Bureau's 2016 report on voting and registration to estimate each group's turnout level. States Choosing Electors using Winner-take-all Method: (Prefer a Simpler Version?) 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. Battle for your spot in the White House against some of the most famous (and infamous!) Out-talk, Out-smart, and Out-spend your Opponents, The Political Machine 2020 v1.4 - The Final Stretch, The Political Machine 2020 v1.31 - The Big Issues, Most Interesting Political Machine 2020 YouTube Videos. The Republican ticket of businessman Donald Trump and Indiana Governor Mike Pence defeated the Democratic ticket of former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and U.S. Whites without college degrees are the bedrock of Donald Trump's coalition: Mitt Romney carried them by more than 20 percentage points in 2012, and Trump is on pace to well exceed that showing. Although Asians and others (including Native Americans, Native Hawaiians and multiracial voters) made up just 5 percent of all voters in 2012, they are the fastest-growing segment of the voting-eligible population.
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